Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.981217 2.271649 2.592397 2.973320 3.413940 3.908263 4.505828
2025-06-01 1.545207 1.935971 2.409422 3.027223 3.815023 4.789866 6.093644
2025-06-08 1.315073 1.749345 2.309647 3.089494 4.153204 5.562498 7.586299
2025-06-15 1.138196 1.588835 2.200523 3.097732 4.390837 6.203151 8.963975
2025-06-22 0.983626 1.430303 2.063323 3.034370 4.501706 6.660530 10.122372
2025-06-29 0.869374 1.310823 1.960889 2.998840 4.635361 7.150940 11.377179
2025-07-06 0.770008 1.199355 1.853766 2.937134 4.712349 7.552173 12.530911
2025-07-13 0.736318 1.183724 1.888964 3.098555 5.157087 8.582363 14.846835
2025-07-20 0.675358 1.116766 1.833743 3.103138 5.338336 9.192238 16.516392
2025-07-27 0.639496 1.086602 1.834195 3.199174 5.683704 10.118885 18.871055
2025-08-03 0.592198 1.031564 1.785988 3.202984 5.862291 10.764537 20.782853
2025-08-10 0.547644 0.976505 1.731533 3.188083 6.001967 11.350058 22.650532
2025-08-17 0.490717 0.898047 1.635431 3.101106 6.026152 11.779977 24.405259
2025-08-24 0.457736 0.861043 1.613026 3.156002 6.343981 12.850239 27.718046
2025-08-31 0.429891 0.830106 1.597631 3.221146 6.689120 14.022516 31.452368
2025-09-07 0.398820 0.789100 1.557483 3.229752 6.915323 14.973853 34.853195
2025-09-14 0.363606 0.735741 1.486352 3.163532 6.968730 15.551873 37.474686
2025-09-21 0.335129 0.693027 1.432095 3.126402 7.080980 16.277423 40.584578
2025-09-28 0.307273 0.648584 1.369224 3.061918 7.120533 16.837247 43.374032
2025-10-05 0.301399 0.650736 1.406638 3.230612 7.736816 18.880362 50.449490
2025-10-12 0.283053 0.623396 1.375912 3.235402 7.952681 19.958817 55.101290
2025-10-19 0.273161 0.614005 1.384540 3.335777 8.423176 21.763340 62.160709
2025-10-26 0.257442 0.589537 1.355663 3.339759 8.644523 22.942083 67.620950